Monday, May 20, 2013

Global Warming and Energy

Midwest gas prices spike. I like the honesty in this article.
"Southwest Ohio gasoline prices have spiked 20 cents a gallon in the past week to an average price of $3.85 a gallon while prices nationwide have fluxuated for no apparent reason. One petroleum industry analyst struggled Monday to make sense of it all.
“The last seven days have delivered some shocks at the pump for motorists in the nation’s Midwest,” said GasBuddy.com Senior Petroleum Analyst Patrick DeHaan. “I don’t believe I’ve ever seen gasoline prices in the Midwest surpass California — areas of Nebraska, Minnesota, Oklahoma, North and South Dakota, and Kansas — have done that. Gas price records in these areas aren’t being quietly replaced, they’re being blown out of the water.
“I don’t believe I’ve ever seen such crazy trends in gasoline prices occur all at one — prices spiking in one area, falling in another, and holding steady in others. What we’re seeing today is certainly rare,” DeHaan said."
I like the "no apparent reason" part. I bet it's because individual sellers are making individual decisions that hope will benefit their business.
"Gasbuddy’s Dayton-area website, DaytonGasPrices.com, showed numerous stations charging $3.89 per gallon for regular-grade gasoline on Monday morning. The average price among all monitored stations was $3.84 a gallon. That’s 20 cents higher than a week ago and 19 cents higher than a year ago, according to the website."
This makes sense to me given that people believe the economy is heating up.

Nanana ice tripod unchanged on record morning.
"According to the ice breakup log, the latest the ice has ever gone out was May 20th, 1964 at 11:41 AM Alaska Standard Time."
"The Nenana Ice Classic is a pretty good proxy for climate change in the 20th century."
It's about two and a half hours until it sets a new record. Ice breakup happens quickly in time lapse video, setting a new record by several hours. It's getting colder. This is an interesting comment...
"The previous record was in a leap year, so this one shouldn’t count as a record."
But the leap day doesn't extend the season by a day. It's a correction to a process that occurs constantly. Using the leap year argument, you can't make year to year comparisons, only four year to four year comparisons. I think the record stands. From another comment:
"The vernal equinox in 1964 and 2013 both fell on 20 March. In 1964 it occurred at 1410Z and in 2013 is occurred at 1102Z. Those are, respectively, 0510AST and 0102AST.
The ice breakup on the Nenana river occurred on 20 March in both 1964 and 2013. In 1964 ice breakup occurred at 1141AST and in 2013 it occurred at 1441AST.
The total span of time between Vernal equinox in 1964 and ice breakup was 61 days, 6 hours, 31 minutes. The total span of time between Vernal equinox in 2013 and ice breakup was 61 days, 12 hours, 39 minutes.
So, like it or not, the ice breakup was more than six hours further into Spring in 2013 than it was in 1964, and 2013 is a record."
Since when do we track anything by comparing it to vernal equinox instead of by date? The record would stand either way. They've measured this ice breakup for 97 years, and this is the latest.

Heat related deaths falling in the US.

Monckton gets serious about accusing the global warming frauds of fraud.
"In my letter to the police in Geneva, which I also copied to the Serious Fraud Office in London and the Office of the Attorney General of the Commonwealth of Virginia, I wrote:
“The attached correspondence evidences a fraud at the IPCC. Its secretariat has not responded to my report of an error in its Fourth Assessment Report (2007). The error is serious. I can prove it is deliberate. It is designed to demonstrate by deception that the world is warming ever faster and that we are to blame. It is one of a series of ingenious, connected frauds that have profited a few at great expense to many.
“The frauds are wilful deceptions calculated to cause loss to taxpayers by tampering with scientific data and results so as to exaggerate the rate and supposed adverse consequences of global warming. Scientific debate is legitimate: subjective distortion of objective science for profit is not.
“This letter is for information. If after a further week the IPCC (to which I am copying this letter) fails to acknowledge my report of its error as its own procedures require, I shall invite you to investigate this and other connected frauds, which involve larger sums than any previous fraud.”
"
Excellent. From a commenter:
"This matter regarding the 17 years was the case earlier, however the situation with GISS, which used to have no statistically significant warming for 17 years, has now been changed with new data. GISS now has over 18 years of no statistically significant warming. As a result, we can now say the following: On six different data sets, there has been no statistically significant warming for between 18 and 23 years.
The details are below and are based on the SkS site:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/trend.php
For RSS the warming is not significant for over 23 years.
For RSS: +0.123 +/-0.131 C/decade at the two sigma level from 1990
For UAH the warming is not significant for over 19 years.
For UAH: 0.142 +/- 0.166 C/decade at the two sigma level from 1994
For Hadcrut3 the warming is not significant for over 19 years.
For Hadcrut3: 0.094 +/- 0.113 C/decade at the two sigma level from 1994
For Hadcrut4 the warming is not significant for over 18 years.
For Hadcrut4: 0.094 +/- 0.109 C/decade at the two sigma level from 1995
For GISS the warming is not significant for over 18 years.
For GISS: 0.103 +/- 0.111 C/decade at the two sigma level from 1995
For NOAA the warming is not significant for over 18 years.
For NOAA: 0.089 +/- 0.104 C/decade at the two sigma level from 1995
If you want to know the times to the nearest month that the warming is not significant for each set to their latest update, they are as follows:
RSS since August 1989;
UAH since June 1993;
Hadcrut3 since August 1993;
Hadcrut4 since July 1994;
GISS since October 1994 and
NOAA since July 1994.
(By the way, RSS shows a slightly negative slope since December 1996 or 16 years and 5 months through to April 2013.)"
The frauds are in a bad position. They have defrauded every taxpayer in dozens of countries. It seems to me that means any prosecutor in any of those countries could prosecute the frauds.

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