This is a
pretty good analysis of the politics behind Republican opposition to Hagel. It looks like he has the votes to get nominated.
"With two other Republican senators already pledged to vote “aye” and
more than half a dozen other Republicans, including Sen. John McCain,
who have promised not to delay a final vote any longer, it appears all
but certain that Hagel will be confirmed with a healthy majority of as
least 58 votes in the 100-seat chamber.
"
"On more substantive issues, they complained that Hagel has
“proclaimed the legitimacy of the current regime in Tehran, which has
violently repressed its own citizens, rigged recent elections, provided
material support for terrorism, and denied the Holocaust.
“Any sound strategy on Iran must be underpinned by the highly
credible threat of U.S. military force (to attack Tehran’s nuclear
facilities),” they argued. “If Senator Hagel becomes Secretary of
Defense, the military option will have near zero credibility. This sends
a dangerous message to the regime in Tehran, as it seeks to obtain the
means necessary to harm both the United States and Israel.”
The letter’s focus on both Israel and the alleged threat posed to it
by Iran – the same issues that overwhelmingly dominated Hagel’s
confirmation hearing last month – reflected the degree to which defence
of the Jewish state has become a litmus test for core Republican
constituencies in the Rocky Mountain states and the so-called “Bible
Belt” that stretches from Texas and Oklahoma to the southeastern
Atlantic seaboard.
Christian Zionists, who play an out-sized role in Republican primary
campaigns, are especially strong and politically engaged in these
states."
I hope the nomination of Hagel will put an end to the US threatening to attack Iran.
"Indeed, Rubio, who gave the official Republican reply to Obama’s
State of the Union address last week, departed immediately afterward for
a visit to Israel.
“Any Republican candidate wants to plant his flag in Israel, not just
in Iowa and New Hampshire (early primary election states),” Larry
Sabato, a political analyst at the University of Virginia, told the
Washington Times. “Christian conservatives are a big chunk of
(Republican) primary voters in a large majority of states, and they care
about Israel as much as Jewish Americans do.”"
It looks like Rubio is joining Rand Paul in the 2016 race.
"According to some analysts, the senators who have been most outspoken
in opposing Hagel, especially those from Texas, Oklahoma, and other
states with a disproportionate number of big military bases and
defence-manufacturing facilities, may yet regret their stance,
particularly in light of the anticipated defence cuts caused by the
so-called sequestration.
“While Hagel had to play defense during the (confirmation) hearing,
that will change when he gets to the Pentagon,” noted former senior
Ronald Reagan defence official Lawrence Korb and Lauren Linde in an
article on foreignpolicy.com this week.
“Based upon his past experiences in business, the non-profit world,
and the Senate, he will be a take-charge leader, and one of his
challenges will be reducing defense spending. And his choices could hurt
the constituents of the very officials who have done the most to hurt
him.”"
The bottom line is always money.
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