Friday, August 24, 2012

Politics

Apparently Biden and Ryan have a lot in common in their voting records.

Tropical storm Isaac is heading toward Tampa, but Republicans have banned umbrellas at the convention. You can't make this stuff up.

Model that predicted last eight elections predicts Romney will win.
"Mitt Romney will win the popular vote and take the White House with more than 300 electoral votes, according to a election model that correctly determines the winner when applied to the past eight presidential elections.
The model, based on state-level economic data, predicts that President Barack Obama will lose nearly all key states that many observers view as toss-ups: North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Wisconsin and New Hampshire. He’d also drop Pennsylvania and Minnesota, where polls indicate Obama is ahead, the study finds.
The analysis, authored by Colorado political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry, looks at unemployment rates and per capita income from the past 22 years and builds a model that would have accurately predicted each election. It also looks at other indicators, like which party currently holds the White House.
“The apparent advantage of being a Democratic candidate and holding the White House disappears when the national unemployment rate hits 5.6 percent,” Berry said in a University of Colorado press release. The unemployment rate is currently 8.3 percent nationally."
I don't think Romney should get too excited about this. As important as the economic situation is, individuals matter too. But then again, I predicted Obama would lose because of the economy long ago.

ACORN did not disappear. It just reorganized under new names.

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