Monday, November 25, 2013

Foreign Policy

South Korea and Singapore help NSA tap undersea cables.

The vitriol targeted at the Iranian nuclear deal is amazing, but there's nothing wrong with this deal. Supposedly the US wants Iran to stop enriching uranium. They agreed to stop for six months in addition to some other things.
"In return for a modest lifting of sanctions, Tehran has agreed to halt work on the heavy water reactor it is building at Arak, to halt production of 20-percent uranium, to dilute half of its existing stockpile, and to allow more inspections."
The main complaint against this deal is it doesn't starve enough Iranian kids to death during the six months.
"Iran’s rivals, Turkey and Egypt, are calling it a good deal. Saudi Arabia says it “could be a first step toward a comprehensive solution for Iran’s nuclear program.” "
Even Saudi Arabia, which just lambasted the US for not attacking Syria and which is probably Iran's most fearful rival, has hope.
"Israeli President Shimon Peres calls the deal satisfactory. Former Military Intelligence Chief Amos Yadlin has remarked of the hysteria in some Israeli circles, “From the reactions this morning, I might have thought Iran had gotten permission to build a bomb.”"
Nice perspective.
"Consider the worst-case scenario we hear from our politicians and pundits – that Iran is cleverly scheming to get the U.S. and U.N. sanctions lifted, and, then, she will make a “mad dash” for the bomb.
But how exactly would Tehran go about this?
If Iran suddenly moved all its low-enriched uranium, to be further enriched in a crash effort to 90 percent, i.e., bomb grade, this would take months to accomplish.
Yet, we would be altered within hours that the uranium was being moved."
The propaganda is crazy. I don't think Israel will attack because there are too many sane people in Israel to counter the propaganda. The threat is a smokescreen.
"So, let us assume another scenario, that the Iranians are not crazed fanatics but rational actors looking out for what is best for their country.
If Iran has no atom bomb program, as the Ayatollah attests, President Hassan Rouhani says he is willing to demonstrate, and 16 U.S. intelligence agencies concluded six years ago and again two years ago, consider the future that might open to Iran – if the Iranians are simply willing and able to prove this to the world’s satisfaction.
First, a steady lifting of sanctions. Second, an end to Iran’s isolation and a return to the global economy. Third, a wave of Western investment for Iran’s oil and gas industry, producing prosperity and easing political pressure on the regime.
Fourth, eventual emergence of Iran, the most populous nation in the Gulf with 85 million citizens, as the dominant power in the Gulf, just as China, after dispensing with the world Communist revolution, became dominant in Asia"
This is what Netanyahu really fears: having to deal with Iran as a rational, equal power. Why would Iran's rulers choose a path of sure destruction versus a path to stealing ever greater wealth?

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